Kristen's Twitter
- @anamariecox @jonathanhsinger It's my understanding that Lincoln Diaz-Balart isn't running in 2010 but rather Mario is. 2 hours ago
- @chrisfaulkner Definitely hoping to dive into the data over the next week or two and hope to have some observations out there soon. 2 hours ago
- @seanhackbarth I have been waiting for that CD to arrive since November 5, 2008. This is a very big day in political data nerd world. 3 hours ago
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Two Kind-Of-A-Big-Deal Pieces
With all the writing for other outlets, I’ve definitely neglected this blog! Consider this a renewed commitment to post more frequently, particularly when a thought is too long for Twitter but too informal to be placed somewhere serious.
Today, I’ve got a post up at National Review online for their Campaign 2009 coverage. Kudos to the brilliant Bob Costa for his work handling the site’s election commentary. (Click here to read “A Jobs Governor“, my post about why the McDonnell campaign model is brilliant and deserves to be replicated across the country as proof that you can go positive and be conservative while also appealing to the middle.)
I also recently put on my pollster hat and did a piece for the Washington Examiner on reasons why a lot of recent media polls are a bit bogus. Sure, the electorate is not a static item, but poll headlines often tout huge landmark shifts that never really emerge on election day. Too often, even good journalists push a poll without seeing if the numbers are really credible or if the main conclusion is reasonable. (Click here for “Never judge a poll by its headline...”)